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Biden maintains steady lead in nine battleground states

Joe Biden Donald Trump

Failed responses to a pandemic and social unease continue to drive Trump’s odds of reelection lower as Trump fatigue grows.

Recent data indicate that Trump’s failed response to COVID-19 and to social unease that has gripped the nation have further turned voters against the president in key battleground states.

In Florida, a must-win state for both the president and Joe Biden, Biden leads Trump by 7%, a jump of 3 points according to data from Change research released June 15.

Biden’s lead over Trump in Minnesota stands at 16% according to polling by Gravis Marketing on June 20. In Arizona, Biden holds a steady lead of five points according to OH Predictive Research on July 16. And in Pennsylvania, Biden increases his lead to 7% over the president according to Monmouth University’s July 15 data release.

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Biden maintains or grows lead over Trump in nine of eleven battleground states.

Biden’s lead over Trump in Michigan is at 7% according to data from Public Policy Polling released July 18. Public Policy Policy also finds an eleven point lead for Biden in Maine with data released July 6 and a two point lead for Biden in North Carolina according to data released July 10.

In New Hampshire, Biden leads the president by seven points according to Saint Anselm College data from June 18. And in the state of Wisconsin which Trump took narrowly in 2016, Biden leads by 6 points according to data from Change Research released July 15.

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Biden’s lead over Trump nationally grows as voters assess Trump administration’s failed response to Covid-19.

Biden’s lead over Trump in national polls increases dramatically in May and expands in June as registered voters flee Trump over his failed responses to the coronavirus pandemic.

As of July 15, Trump’s approval rating has dropped to 40% with disapproval at 56% according to data from Ipsos. The president’s approval rating has remained in the low- to mid- 40s during his time in office.

Data available at Five Thirty Eight.

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